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Weak valueActiveHOT DOG! · $5 · New York Lottery
HOT DOG!: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.20 on average.
▼ -0.8 pts vs launch#11 of 15 · $5 NY games
▼ -0.8 pts vs launch#11 of 15 · $5 NY games
HOT DOG! is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the New York state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.0%, down 0.8 percentage points from the launch value of 64.8%. 2 of the original 3 $500,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 29% of the 6.9M printed tickets have been sold.
64.0%
expected return
1 in 4.45
odds of any win
2 of 3
$500K top prizes left
29%
claimed · 2M of 6.9M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,098,033 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $150, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 1,925 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.20 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$2.98 · 59.7% of price
Mid prizes $2K – $500K
$0.22 · 4.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
1,098,001 winning tickets remain in this range: 93% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
29% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
6.9M
tickets printed
2M
tickets claimed · 29%
4.9M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
71%
67% of top prizes remain with 71% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
New York Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 NY peers
#11 of 15
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from New York Lottery published claim data.
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