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Weak valueActiveFireball 7s · $5 · Connecticut Lottery
Fireball 7s: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.38 on average.
▼ -0.2 pts vs launch#4 of 8 · $5 CT games
▼ -0.2 pts vs launch#4 of 8 · $5 CT games
Fireball 7s is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Connecticut state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.6%, down 0.2 percentage points from the launch value of 67.8%. 3 of the original 4 $77,777 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 22% of the 2.6M printed tickets have been sold.
67.6%
expected return
1 in 4.06
odds of any win
3 of 4
$78K top prizes left
22%
claimed · 579k of 2.6M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 503,036 winning tickets still unclaimed.
15 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
75 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 5,256 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.38 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $577
$3.22 · 64.3% of price
Mid prizes $2K – $78K
$0.16 · 3.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $577 wins
502,975 winning tickets remain in this range: 95% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
22% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
2.6M
tickets printed
579k
tickets claimed · 22%
2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
75%
Tickets left
78%
75% of top prizes remain with 78% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Connecticut Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 CT peers
#4 of 8
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Connecticut Lottery published claim data.
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