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Weak valueActiveEXTREME GREEN · $5 · Connecticut Lottery
EXTREME GREEN: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.39 on average.
▼ -0.6 pts vs launch#3 of 8 · $5 CT games
▼ -0.6 pts vs launch#3 of 8 · $5 CT games
EXTREME GREEN is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Connecticut state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.8%, down 0.6 percentage points from the launch value of 68.4%. 2 of the original 4 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 42% of the 2.0M printed tickets have been sold.
67.8%
expected return
1 in 4.16
odds of any win
2 of 4
$50K top prizes left
42%
claimed · 851k of 2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 285,312 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 3,259 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.39 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.26 · 65.1% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.13 · 2.7% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
285,250 winning tickets remain in this range: 96% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
42% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, May 2026.
2M
tickets printed
851k
tickets claimed · 42%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
58%
50% of top prizes remain with 58% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Connecticut Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 CT peers
#3 of 8
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Connecticut Lottery published claim data.
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