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Weak valueActiveFireball Bingo · $3 · California Lottery
Fireball Bingo: Weak value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.92 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#3 of 5 · $3 CA games
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#3 of 5 · $3 CA games
Fireball Bingo is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.0%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 65.0%. 25 of the original 50 $20,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 50% of the 30.3M printed tickets have been sold.
64.0%
expected return
1 in 3.61
odds of any win
25 of 50
$20K top prizes left
50%
claimed · 15.1M of 30.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 4,214,473 winning tickets still unclaimed.
20 win more than $3
$4 – $100, an actual profit
8 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
72 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 46,160 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.92 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $3 – $500
$1.88 · 62.8% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $20K
$0.04 · 1.2% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $500 wins
4,214,394 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
50% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jan 2026.
30.3M
tickets printed
15.1M
tickets claimed · 50%
15.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
50%
50% of top prizes remain with 50% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 CA peers
#3 of 5
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
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