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Poor valueActive15X · $3 · California Lottery
15X: Poor value. A $3 ticket pays back $1.78 on average.
▼ -6.7 pts vs launch#4 of 4 · $3 CA games
▼ -6.7 pts vs launch#4 of 4 · $3 CA games
15X is a $3 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 59.3%, down 6.7 percentage points from the launch value of 66.0%. 3 of the original 37 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 87% of the 22.2M printed tickets have been sold.
59.3%
expected return
1 in 3.78
odds of any win
3 of 37
$30K top prizes left
87%
claimed · 19.3M of 22.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 778,159 winning tickets still unclaimed.
16 win more than $3
$5 – $100, an actual profit
11 win their money back
a $3 prize, so you break even
73 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 13,590 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.78 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $3 – $500
$1.74 · 58.1% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $30K
$0.04 · 1.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$3 – $500 wins
778,134 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
87% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2025.
22.2M
tickets printed
19.3M
tickets claimed · 87%
2.9M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
8%
Tickets left
13%
8% of top prizes remain with 13% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $3 CA peers
#4 of 4
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
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