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Decent valueActive$1,000,000 Poker · $10 · California Lottery
$1,000,000 Poker: Decent value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.45 on average.
▼ -0.1 pts vs launch#4 of 9 · $10 CA gamesUpdated Jun 24, 2026, 12:06 PM
▼ -0.1 pts vs launch#4 of 9 · $10 CA gamesUpdated Jun 24, 2026, 12:06 PM
$1,000,000 Poker is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 74.5%, down 0.1 percentage points from the launch value of 74.6%. 8 of the original 12 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 34% of the 14.4M printed tickets have been sold.
74.5%
expected return
1 in 3.50
odds of any win
8 of 12
$1M jackpots left
34%
claimed · 5M of 14.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 2,690,152 winning tickets still unclaimed.
22 win more than $10
$15 – $200, an actual profit
6 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
72 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 2,450 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.45 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.49 · 64.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $20K
$0.11 · 1.1% of price
Jackpots $1M+
$0.85 · 8.5% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
66.0%
Just 8 tickets out of 9.4M carry the $1M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
2,689,455 winning tickets remain in this range: 87% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
34% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Apr 2026.
14.4M
tickets printed
5M
tickets claimed · 34%
9.4M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
66%
67% of top prizes remain with only 66% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 CA peers
#4 of 9
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 24, 2026, 12:06 PM.
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