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Average valueActiveCalifornia Jackpot · $10 · California Lottery
California Jackpot: Average value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.30 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#7 of 10 · $10 CA games
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#7 of 10 · $10 CA games
California Jackpot is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 73.0%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 74.0%. 3 of the original 8 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 58% of the 16.4M printed tickets have been sold.
73.0%
expected return
1 in 3.42
odds of any win
3 of 8
$1M jackpots left
58%
claimed · 9.6M of 16.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,993,753 winning tickets still unclaimed.
21 win more than $10
$15 – $100, an actual profit
8 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
71 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 916 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.30 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.44 · 64.4% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $10K
$0.42 · 4.2% of price
Jackpots $1M+
$0.44 · 4.4% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
68.6%
Just 3 tickets out of 6.8M carry the $1M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
1,991,178 winning tickets remain in this range: 88% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
58% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Sep 2025.
16.4M
tickets printed
9.6M
tickets claimed · 58%
6.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
38%
Tickets left
42%
38% of top prizes remain with 42% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 CA peers
#7 of 10
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
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