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Weak valueActiveI CAN'T EVEN 5 · $5 · West Virginia Lottery
I CAN'T EVEN 5: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.38 on average.
▼ -0.4 pts vs launch#6 of 17 · $5 WV games
▼ -0.4 pts vs launch#6 of 17 · $5 WV games
I CAN'T EVEN 5 is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the West Virginia state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.6%, down 0.4 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 3 of the original 4 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 20% of the 0.6M printed tickets have been sold.
67.6%
expected return
1 in 4.24
odds of any win
3 of 4
$5K top prizes left
20%
claimed · 111k of 560k printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 108,890 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 9,561 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.38 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.35 · 67.0% of price
Mid prizes $5K
$0.03 · 0.6% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
108,887 winning tickets remain in this range: 99% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
20% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, Jul 2026.
560k
tickets printed
111k
tickets claimed · 20%
449k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
75%
Tickets left
80%
75% of top prizes remain with 80% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
West Virginia Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 WV peers
#6 of 17
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from West Virginia Lottery published claim data.
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