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Weak valueActiveYellowstone · $5 · Texas Lottery
Yellowstone: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.29 on average.
▼ -2.2 pts vs launch#14 of 27 · $5 TX games
▼ -2.2 pts vs launch#14 of 27 · $5 TX games
Yellowstone is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.8%, down 2.2 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 2 of the original 5 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 75% of the 7.3M printed tickets have been sold.
65.8%
expected return
1 in 4.26
odds of any win
2 of 5
$100K top prizes left
75%
claimed · 5.5M of 7.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 437,025 winning tickets still unclaimed.
13 win more than $5
$10 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
77 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 3,442 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.29 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.18 · 63.5% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $100K
$0.11 · 2.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
437,013 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
75% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch.
7.3M
tickets printed
5.5M
tickets claimed · 75%
1.9M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
40%
Tickets left
25%
40% of top prizes remain with only 25% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 TX peers
#14 of 27
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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