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Average valueActiveLucky Match · $10 · Texas Lottery
Lucky Match: Average value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.01 on average.
▲ +0.1 pts vs launch#3 of 17 · $10 TX games
▲ +0.1 pts vs launch#3 of 17 · $10 TX games
Lucky Match is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 70.1%, up 0.1 percentage points from the launch value of 70.0%. 2 of the original 4 $250,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 56% of the 8.2M printed tickets have been sold.
70.1%
expected return
1 in 3.62
odds of any win
2 of 4
$250K top prizes left
56%
claimed · 4.6M of 8.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 987,228 winning tickets still unclaimed.
18 win more than $10
$15 – $250, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
72 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 3,393 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.01 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.76 · 67.6% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $250K
$0.25 · 2.5% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
987,114 winning tickets remain in this range: 96% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
56% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch.
8.2M
tickets printed
4.6M
tickets claimed · 56%
3.6M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
50%
Tickets left
44%
50% of top prizes remain with only 44% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 TX peers
#3 of 17
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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