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Weak valueActiveIn the Green · $5 · Texas Lottery
In the Green: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.25 on average.
▼ -3.2 pts vs launch#17 of 25 · $5 TX games
▼ -3.2 pts vs launch#17 of 25 · $5 TX games
In the Green is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.0%, down 3.2 percentage points from the launch value of 68.2%. 1 of the original 6 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 66% of the 7.2M printed tickets have been sold.
65.0%
expected return
1 in 4.34
odds of any win
1 of 6
$100K top prizes left
66%
claimed · 4.7M of 7.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 559,266 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $100, an actual profit
11 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
77 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 1,979 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.25 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.15 · 63.1% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $100K
$0.10 · 1.9% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
559,140 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
66% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
7.2M
tickets printed
4.7M
tickets claimed · 66%
2.4M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
17%
Tickets left
34%
17% of top prizes remain with 34% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 TX peers
#17 of 25
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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