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Weak valueActiveChameleon Cash · $5 · Texas Lottery
Chameleon Cash: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.07 on average.
▼ -6.6 pts vs launch#22 of 25 · $5 TX games
▼ -6.6 pts vs launch#22 of 25 · $5 TX games
Chameleon Cash is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 61.4%, down 6.6 percentage points from the launch value of 68.0%. 0 of the original 5 $100,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 88% of the 5.1M printed tickets have been sold.
61.4%
expected return
1 in 4.18
odds of any win
0 of 5
$100K top prizes left
88%
claimed · 4.5M of 5.1M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 149,825 winning tickets still unclaimed.
12 win more than $5
$10 – $300, an actual profit
12 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 63,062 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.07 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $300
$3.05 · 61.1% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $100K
$0.02 · 0.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $300 wins
149,815 winning tickets remain in this range: 99% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
88% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
5.1M
tickets printed
4.5M
tickets claimed · 88%
631k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
0%
Tickets left
12%
0% of top prizes remain with 12% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 TX peers
#22 of 25
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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