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Weak valueActiveBreak the Bank · $2 · Texas Lottery
Break the Bank: Weak value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.30 on average.
▲ +0.0 pts vs launch#2 of 12 · $2 TX games
▲ +0.0 pts vs launch#2 of 12 · $2 TX games
Break the Bank is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the Texas state lottery. Its current expected value is 65.0%, up 0.0 percentage points from the launch value of 65.0%. 9 of the original 10 $30,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 7% of the 24.4M printed tickets have been sold.
65.0%
expected return
1 in 4.80
odds of any win
9 of 10
$30K top prizes left
7%
claimed · 1.8M of 24.4M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 4,718,567 winning tickets still unclaimed.
11 win more than $2
$4 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
79 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 22,573 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.30 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $500
$1.28 · 63.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $30K
$0.02 · 1.1% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $500 wins
4,718,424 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
7% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch.
24.4M
tickets printed
1.8M
tickets claimed · 7%
22.7M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
90%
Tickets left
93%
90% of top prizes remain with 93% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Texas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 TX peers
#2 of 12
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Texas Lottery published claim data.
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