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Decent valueActiveCash Surge · $10 · Michigan Lottery
Cash Surge: Decent value. A $10 ticket pays back $7.91 on average.
▲ +2.6 pts vs launch#4 of 29 · $10 MI games
▲ +2.6 pts vs launch#4 of 29 · $10 MI games
Cash Surge is a $10 scratch-off ticket from the Michigan state lottery. Its current expected value is 79.1%, up 2.6 percentage points from the launch value of 76.5%. 2 of the original 3 $1,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 57% of the 6.0M printed tickets have been sold.
79.1%
expected return
1 in 3.85
odds of any win
2 of 3
$1M jackpots left
57%
claimed · 3.4M of 6M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 673,885 winning tickets still unclaimed.
16 win more than $10
$20 – $200, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $10 prize, so you break even
74 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 1,291 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $7.91 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $10 – $500
$6.95 · 69.5% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $10K
$0.19 · 1.9% of price
Jackpots $1M+
$0.77 · 7.7% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
71.4%
Just 2 tickets out of 2.6M carry the $1M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$10 – $500 wins
673,437 winning tickets remain in this range: 88% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
57% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Mar 2026.
6M
tickets printed
3.4M
tickets claimed · 57%
2.6M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
43%
67% of top prizes remain with only 43% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Michigan Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $10 MI peers
#4 of 29
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Michigan Lottery published claim data.
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