A
Strong valueActiveMONOPOLY · $20 · California Lottery
MONOPOLY: Strong value. A $20 ticket pays back $16.45 on average.
▲ +4.0 pts vs launch#3 of 13 · $20 CA games
▲ +4.0 pts vs launch#3 of 13 · $20 CA games
MONOPOLY is a $20 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 82.3%, up 4.0 percentage points from the launch value of 78.3%. 4 of the original 6 $5,000,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 55% of the 18.2M printed tickets have been sold.
82.3%
expected return
1 in 3.32
odds of any win
4 of 6
$5M jackpots left
55%
claimed · 10.1M of 18.2M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 2,451,080 winning tickets still unclaimed.
20 win more than $20
$30 – $250, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $20 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 236 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $16.45 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $20 – $500
$13.36 · 66.8% of price
Mid prizes $3K
$0.64 · 3.2% of price
Jackpots $5M+
$2.46 · 12.3% of price
Realistic return, jackpots set aside
70.0%
Just 4 tickets out of 8.1M carry the $5M+ prizes. This is your expected return if none of them is yours.
Most of the value pays out as
$20 – $500 wins
2,449,004 winning tickets remain in this range: 81% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
55% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Mar 2025.
18.2M
tickets printed
10.1M
tickets claimed · 55%
8.1M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
67%
Tickets left
45%
67% of top prizes remain with only 45% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $20 CA peers
#3 of 13
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
S
Scratchstats