D
Weak valueActiveGOOOAAAL! · $2 · California Lottery
GOOOAAAL!: Weak value. A $2 ticket pays back $1.29 on average.
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#5 of 7 · $2 CA games
▼ -1.0 pts vs launch#5 of 7 · $2 CA games
GOOOAAAL! is a $2 scratch-off ticket from the California state lottery. Its current expected value is 64.5%, down 1.0 percentage points from the launch value of 65.5%. 11 of the original 20 $20,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 44% of the 12.0M printed tickets have been sold.
64.5%
expected return
1 in 4.09
odds of any win
11 of 20
$20K top prizes left
44%
claimed · 5.2M of 12M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 1,651,583 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $2
$3 – $100, an actual profit
10 win their money back
a $2 prize, so you break even
76 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 13,902 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $1.29 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $2 – $500
$1.25 · 62.5% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $20K
$0.04 · 2.0% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$2 – $500 wins
1,651,516 winning tickets remain in this range: 97% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
44% of the print run claimed
Counting every ticket since launch, May 2026.
12M
tickets printed
5.2M
tickets claimed · 44%
6.8M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Sales are outpacing the jackpots: worse for buyers.
Jackpots left
55%
Tickets left
56%
55% of top prizes remain with 56% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
California Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $2 CA peers
#5 of 7
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from California Lottery published claim data.
S
Scratchstats