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Weak value
ActiveCrazy Dough · $1 · Arkansas Lottery

Crazy Dough: Weak value. A $1 ticket pays back $0.62 on average.

+0.0 pts vs launch#1 of 10 · $1 AR gamesUpdated Jun 24, 2026, 12:19 PM

Crazy Dough is a $1 scratch-off ticket from the Arkansas state lottery. Its current expected value is 62.0%, up 0.0 percentage points from the launch value of 62.0%. 3 of the original 3 $5,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 14% of the 1.3M printed tickets have been sold.

62.0%
expected return
1 in 4.72
odds of any win
3 of 3
$5K top prizes left
14%
claimed · 190k of 1.3M printed
Odds, in plain terms

If you bought 100 tickets today

Based on the 243,763 winning tickets still unclaimed.

13 win more than $1
$2 – $100, an actual profit
9 win their money back
a $1 prize, so you break even
78 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 383,547 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map

Where the $0.62 comes from

The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.

Small wins $1 – $100
$0.61 · 60.7% of price
Mid prizes $5K
$0.01 · 1.3% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$1 – $100 wins
243,760 winning tickets remain in this range: 98% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress

14% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there

Counting every ticket since launch, Jun 2026.

1.3M
tickets printed
190k
tickets claimed · 14%
1.2M
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
100%
Tickets left
86%
100% of top prizes remain with only 86% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Arkansas Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Figures from Arkansas Lottery published claim data, updated Jun 24, 2026, 12:19 PM.
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© 2026 · Data from official state lottery feeds