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Weak valueActiveLotería Grande · $5 · Arizona Lottery
Lotería Grande: Weak value. A $5 ticket pays back $3.35 on average.
▼ -1.4 pts vs launch#8 of 13 · $5 AZ games
▼ -1.4 pts vs launch#8 of 13 · $5 AZ games
Lotería Grande is a $5 scratch-off ticket from the Arizona state lottery. Its current expected value is 67.0%, down 1.4 percentage points from the launch value of 68.4%. 4 of the original 13 $50,000 top prizes are still unclaimed. Approximately 80% of the 4.1M printed tickets have been sold.
67.0%
expected return
1 in 3.42
odds of any win
4 of 13
$50K top prizes left
80%
claimed · 3.2M of 4.1M printed
Odds, in plain terms
If you bought 100 tickets today
Based on the 242,509 winning tickets still unclaimed.
14 win more than $5
$10 – $250, an actual profit
16 win their money back
a $5 prize, so you break even
70 win nothing
the house edge, made visible
Prizes of $500 or more hit about 1 in 16,262 tickets, so they won't show up in a batch of 100.
Value map
Where the $3.35 comes from
The average payback per ticket, split by prize size. Small wins do most of the work.
Small wins $5 – $500
$3.10 · 61.9% of price
Mid prizes $1K – $50K
$0.25 · 5.1% of price
Most of the value pays out as
$5 – $500 wins
242,494 winning tickets remain in this range: 92% of total value, and the wins you'll actually see.
Claim progress
80% claimed, and the jackpots are still out there
Counting every ticket since launch, Aug 2025.
4.1M
tickets printed
3.2M
tickets claimed · 80%
829k
still out there
Prizes claimed over time
Claim chart needs more snapshot history
Jackpots are outlasting sales: good for buyers.
Jackpots left
31%
Tickets left
20%
31% of top prizes remain with only 20% of tickets left to claim them.
Where to buy
Arizona Lottery
At retailers statewide, or online through Jackpocket. Affiliate link: Scratchstats may earn a commission.
Rank vs $5 AZ peers
#8 of 13
By expected return. Higher is better for the player.
Figures from Arizona Lottery published claim data.
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